Great info, thanks for your insights!

Other? I’ve banned people for less.

All of the index measurements point to a warmer than average Winter, but I think that the weather of late across the CONUS is pointing to some good Winter periods. One thing is the major heat over the SW, US: They are breaking records by 7-8F. When I rolled forward that region deviating as such historically, it actually rolls forward to a nice +PNA/cooler pattern in the Midwest/East at least for Dec/Jan. On the other hand, classic measurements like the NAO (which I have a predictor index for using N. Atlantic SSTs, coming in positive) and the PDO suggest SE ridging, but I think some of it is based on trend consistency, and we might change that pattern of the last few years a little bit this Winter, like I mentioned in the previous post. Some of those index regions forecasts play on consistency, and we are seeing somewhat of a break of the trend thus far this year. I think when it gets warm, it will get really warm, but we will have some good Winter periods mixed in. WPO has been positive 5/6 Winter's, and positive or neutral 6/6 Winter's, and the historical data says that's 54% likely to flip this Winter..

Keep it up with the childish bullshit and much like the fine folks from the hurricane ravaged Gulf and Appalachia, you too can experience what it is like to not have the ability to post to the forum. Unlike you though, they were on the brink and not getting all hot and bothered about the prospect of seeing disaster porn so good that Roland Emmerich has to pay royalties to CNN.

What are you thinking right now? I have a feeling this winter will be at least a little better than many are thinking. I saw talk of a -WPO winter which would probably be good for many of us if I understand it right.