The opening to October looks like a classic +EPO look, which fits analogs for -PDO. Could *loosely* insinuate a colder wet season tendency later on? There was some discussion about that before...

The next couple weeks may be pretty boring for a lot of us, especially further south. It looks like a cold front in a week may at least give some cool lows for a day or two. But after a couple more nice days highs will be into the mid 80s, and there is good ensemble support next week after the cold front that we approach 90F again. It would be nice to be done with that. Here is the 7 day EPS mean for the week 2 period.

There were some pretty strong storms south and southwest of me, particularly in OKC where they had some very large hail. Storms did brush my house and I picked up 0.42" after a pleasant high of 78F. Unfortunately that is going to be it for a while. Models have continued to trend east with the tropical moisture and now it looks like a shut out this weekend.

I’m jealous of their ability to get clobbered by huge snowstorms. I have only seen 10” fall in 24 hours once in my life (February 2021, Seattle). That happens every year or two in NYC. It’s also cool that they can get tropical systems, but don’t usually have to worry about the catastrophic ones, with a couple exceptions.

Our all-time record high is hotter and our all-time record low is colder than NYC, and our all-time snowiest winter is snowier. Too bad our climate still blows chunks compared to theirs in most ways.