The official H/L yesterday at Grand Rapids was 76/49 there was no rainfall there was 99% of possible sunshine. For today the average H/L is 66/46 the record high of 87 was set in 1951 the coldest high of 42 was set in 1935 the record low of 30 was set in 1943 and 1965 the warmest low of 65 was set in 1965 and 2013. The most rainfall of 1.28” fell in 1991.

i'm VERY ON BOARD.. see paragraph pukage above

00z GEFS extended frames show a classic Niña pattern progression this Fall, with +EPO slop to reign in Spooky Szn, followed by what appears to be the embryotic stages of our eventual DJF blocking high, in the form of a raging +PNA pattern over the Pacific dumping a ridge right overhead. Rotting jackolanterns might FREEZE under a healthy inversion pattern, interspersed with heavy bouts of Hawaiian import and crazy GFS long range-icaines promising to gourge a chasm straight through the Olympic mountains and forcefully redirect the Columbia river to the north of Mt Rainier. Perhaps one may even verify... After that, the gameplan is simple, we've seen it play out a million times during La Niña. 1988-89, 2008-09, 2010-11, 2016-17 (fuk u fil), and 2021-22 are all the recent La Niña's that featured a warm November ridging pattern retrograde into an Aleutian blocking high dominant winter regime. This is a real correlation we've discussed on the forums, and as Phil has clarified, it's due to La Niña's relationship with the MJO. Their interactions in November produce ridging overhead, but that relationship gradually becomes more favorable for sending Arctic air south as the winter progresses. It's really encouraging to see that exact signal this early, among the zany climate model outputs for DJFM. The only wrench in this idea is the fact that; especially if the NAO doesn't cooperate during November; we probably won't have much of a reservoir of cold air to tap into come the time good blocking finally arrives. We'll either have to smuggle a polar lobe from Siberia into the northwestern corner of the continent, or marinate our own as the sun sets over northern Canada and Alaska. *of course mother nature has her own plans. i'm just going by the frequency of la niña cold seasons that have followed this progression. which is actually shocking in recent times. Pretty much every La Niña since 2008; and you could easily shimmy in 2022-23 into the end of that list I mentioned earlier, if you're okay with the crazy cold anomaly provided by all the ridging going into lengthy inversions, and some timely NW clippers.

Thanks! I hope we have plenty of active weather this fall and several arctic air masses this winter.

Wow! Early am front way over performed! Some training mostly to my north. Heavy rain with intermitent pea size hail for over 1 hour! Best rain in a long time! 1.03" on my ambient gage! KDMX - Super-Res Reflectivity 1, 4_43 AM.mp4