I was going to respond with the troll emoji but I think you’re actually being serious here? We reference the CFS in jest. It’s not a model to be taken seriously given the enormity of its subseasonal spatiotemporal biases.

Ok they just came out. As expected, 00z AIFS deterministic was a warm outlier. Still looks pretty good. 00z: 12z:

It's definitely him lol.

Wait what? AIFS was a significant step back unfortunately. Personally, I'm waiting for the AI ensembles.

If the CFS is right the second half of winter is going to be something else. Two epic cold waves that last for a long time.