Looking at the ensembles definite improvement across the board. This is the 850s for Vancouver, BC. GEFS, GEM, ECMWF, AIFS in that order. A significant increase in -7c to -14c members. The EURO camp looks the most promising.
Well I just got home a bit ago from Damascus. Oh boy. I keep waiting for the Euro to back away from the wind storm potential, but it did not. The EURO doubled down and other models are moving towards the windy solution. IF the Euro is handling this correctly this could be the strongest wind storm for PDX/Willamette Valley since Nov 1981. Really quite incredible to see the potential and the EPS is looking concerning too. IF there are no changes by 00z tonight this becomes real worrisome and people will need to be prepared. Long range we very well could jump straight into a cold, snowy pattern the first week of 2026. I think its safe to say there will be a lot of model riding ahead and night shifts.
Night Shift 6z GFS in 43 minutes