We'll see how this one verifies. 90% chance Seattle is above average
I have confidence in that one because the pre-El Nino has been hitting every month since Nov and pre-El Nino May is +0.3 temp correlation in Seattle.
If you say so...regardless, it just shows you can't really make definitive statements based off those 3-4 week forecasts. Even if they only miss by 500 mi that has pretty significant implications for the CONUS.
Got some showers popping up around the sound, as per CAM guidance. Should see an uptick in midlevel convection for a few hours before another wave late tonight into tomorrow morning
^Not horrible imo, they had the whole pattern 500 miles further east. Also they were weak anomalies being forecasted, 5% of the map in 3rd contour, this one has 5th contour