^More big +AO this May-June for the 3rd straight year, since the Solar aurora borealis

Forecast from 5/22, EPS on top and AI-EPS on the bottom Now what is likely to verify. This picture doesn't change substantially for other models. Looks like the AI won this round:

Yeah, June has a stronger STJ signal. Some maxes over 0.3 for a 73-year base period is slightly statistically significant.

A seasonal correlation coefficient of 0.1 to 0.3 isn’t statistically significant though. It looks like the influence is weak or dependent on the structure of the ENSO/general circulation evolution (which varies widely between ENSO events).

Thats looks like a non-signal to me, statistically speaking.