Interesting. I’d think the reason our winters have warmed comparatively less is because most of our winter weather comes directly from the largest heat sink on the planet. Despite the “7 straight months of cold rain” stereotype most of our winters have pretty much always had mild, semi-pleasant 50-55°F partly cloudy days liberally salted throughout thanks to said heat sink. At least, they’re probably more pleasant than anything in a Phoenix or Florida summer. The sheer lack of these really made 2016-17 stand out from nearly every other modern winter. I don’t think most here really appreciate just how abnormal that winter was, even in the “good ol’ days” it wasn’t the norm or really even close to it.

That is only since 1970. Over the last 150+ years it’s a lot more evenly distributed. The shorter time windows allow more interdecadal variability into the long period post-LIA trend. For instance, the new intradecadal/low frequency state we’ve entered is likely to shift the focus of western warming from summer to winter instead, and we’ve already begun to see indications of that in recent winters (not every year follows the mean, but that will be the theme IMO).

Yeah, the lack of Tim posts are a dead giveaway that models have turned troughier. Although may be good timing for the 4th holiday since it’d be unlike climo to have 3 troughs swinging through in a row this time of year.

That is true regionally, but the bomb cyclone / mountain wave event of Nov 2024 was very significant for this area. Some people in Issaquah were in the dark for a week.

Looks like a pretty good storm system tonight for my area. A mix of strong winds and heavy rain. Staying active through the next week but we might begin shutting down for summer after that...at least for now.