All this CAPE wasted under a cap. Nearly 5000J/kg surface, 4000J/kg mixed layer. Jet fuel for any MCS that decides it wants to save the day.

Hotter than expected

It’s verifying fine. Dewpoints haven’t mixed out as much as modeled, which lowers high temps a bit but raises heat indices. It’s actually a worst case scenario. DCA feels like 115°F. Would have been better if the ECMWF’s 109/61 had verified. If anything the amplitude of heat energy fluxes (latent+sensible/specific) in the airmass is higher than modeled.

It shut down The Great American State Fair, leaving its millions of attendees with nothing to do on our nation’s birthday eve. Nuff said.

Will be snow at my house.