Definitely true, but given how quite a large area south of TB is still a distinct possibility with this, a northern trend makes me nervous because it puts Tampa in the area of onshore winds. A tiny wobble to the south and Tampa is back to doomsday status.
It's gotta be very strange for anyone who lives in Tampa and follows the models closely. They've had like 47 brushes with doomsday over the last few years that always seem to veer off at the last second. Some day their luck is gonna run out I'm afraid.