I have been debating this same topic with Jared for literally 15 years. It is increasingly exhausting.
No matter how much quantitative evidence I provide him, he refuses to budge. That’s the thing about religion, though. It’s based on faith, not data.
Oct/Nov total precip versus DJF average temp.
Using Pearson method: Weak, non-statistically significant negative correlation. But better than October alone.
Spearman rank method: No correlation whatsoever.
Look at the line plot. There is so much variance, it is more likely to be random noise.