Yes, variations of the CFS have been run out that far. I doubt they are outputting high resolution 2m temps. I’m trying to find the paper I read last year on researchgate but I might be getting SMYLE mixed up here. im any case, the variability and outrageousness of the CFS is kind of expected when the model is designed to go fast and easy with limited inputs. It provide a workable model for months and months out. There were a couple AI models I got to see in action at a previous job that are designed to compete with the CFS and go out to at least a year and have a generally ok output at lower levels. I’m hoping we see those released by this time next year.

Looks like a cool damp day around here with some showers possible. Rain amounts look light with only a tenth or two likely. Models continue to show a clipper on Saturday bringing the first flakes and possibly some accumulating snow to the area.

37F with some fog. Nice, chilly night.

People have been soo ungrateful they need to keep it off.

PSE has about 400 customers still without power from the storm. They expect to complete restoration for the remaining in the next few hours.