18z AI looked better. More cold air moving West.

Patience. I'm not going to start the, "Ya gotta believe!" schpeel and all that. Not yet. But yeah. Nice boring, mild November lull us all to sleep, write off Winter, Winter Cancel, hang up the coats and sleds, and then the models suddenly flip the script. Big changes near December! DROP THE HAMMER! C'MON!!!! 00z GFS in 1 hour 36 minutes 00z ECMWF in 3 hours 28 minutes

For those keeping score at home, unless we stop being weiners and believing Deterministic runs from 300+ hours out, at the same time cancelling everything, Jim won't be back.

It will be great for tomatoes!

Haven't read this yet, I'm surprised its free. https://published.aer.com/aoblog/aoblog.html