Blowing snow is the best!

One thing occurs 1/7.6 years. The other is 1/2 below or above average. So double the analog vs what I'm pointing out gives it 7.6x more credence. Not to mention that going from hot to cold is less than 50% favored in normal probability.

I find them depressing

Statistically speaking, 20 is not much more meaningful than 10. It is what it is.

You don't think 20 hottest seasons on record giving a below average mean 1 year later is significant?