I remember a 110 but might have been the GFS that he was posting for dramatic effect.

It wasn’t that close at Victoria in the end either. But I think 2026 was running warmer with about a week or so left in the month. 2026: 62.1F 2015/ 2021: 63.7F I only looked back to 2014 and this June was 3rd warmest.

All this CAPE wasted under a cap. Nearly 5000J/kg surface, 4000J/kg mixed layer. Jet fuel for any MCS that decides it wants to save the day.

Hotter than expected

It’s verifying fine. Dewpoints haven’t mixed out as much as modeled, which lowers high temps a bit but raises heat indices. It’s actually a worst case scenario. DCA feels like 115°F. Would have been better if the ECMWF’s 109/61 had verified. If anything the amplitude of heat energy fluxes (latent+sensible/specific) in the airmass is higher than modeled.