We got pounded with rain less than a week ago but will have to water the garden this evening and probably each day this week because the elevated beds dry out quickly with weather like this. I can add water but I can't make up for a lack of sun when it's gloomy so this is preferable.
Just hoping its not raining that day for my daughter's lake event. 18Z GFS still looks good and that would a big shift in the final 3 days to bring rain in that day.
There'll be a new AI model coming on the scene soon - Aurora. Apparently scores better than the GraphCast. Unfortunately it's from Microsoft but regardless, the next few years should be interesting for the weather forecasting community and our reliability on the models.
https://www.microsoft.com/en-us/research/blog/introducing-aurora-the-first-large-scale-foundation-model-of-the-atmosphere/
FWIW the operational GFS is still the farthest offshore with the shortwave/ULL next week compared to all other models.
It corrected a bit eastward on the 18z but I suspect it will come around further either 00z or 06z.