Trended weaker on all models overall.

Looks great for anyone not living north of Longview!

There have been some strong and repeated signals from the Euro Climate a from a few of the AI climate runs of a DJF/JFM negative anomaly axis between Vermont and Florida. Looks pretty interesting for anyone wanting to chase Mid Atlantic or NE snow storms from the second week of December onwards. Inversely the same ridging signal that a lot of us Seattle snow weenies have been mistaking for Alaska actually has a basis in a very positive anomaly for the far eastern Pacific. I think you called this out early on, so we’re probably going to see a very dry and ridge dominated winter. People forget, but the west coast lowlands has and will have again multi year streaks without any significant cold air that lines up with a Pacific storm track. Anyway, you’re going to have to pick up the slack now that we are without Phil here anymore to remind us of what reality is.

My forecast technique of using the past warm season to forecast tendencies in the cool season seems to be holding weight so far. It indicated a potential for more cut off lows off of CA into the southern Plains. Certainly seeing a lot of that so far.

00z CMCE puts the Columbia Basin into the freezer.