After a frosty start this morning we will see a mostly cloudy day with temperatures this afternoon a few degrees cooler than normal for late November. Tomorrow we should see above normal temperatures but with rain arriving tomorrow night. The sun returns for the weekend with temperatures not too far from normal. We look to warm to well above normal by the day before Thanksgiving before the pattern change to colder takes hold by Turkey Day weekend.

Some weather history for November 20th 1914 - The high temperature of 28 degrees at Atlanta, GA, was their earliest daily high below the freezing mark. (The Weather Channel) and in 1987- Blustery northwest winds created snow squalls in the Great Lakes Region and the Upper Ohio Valley. Snowfall totals in Upper Michigan ranged up to 18 inches at Paradise. Lake City MI received 9.5 inches of snow in four and a half hours. Up to a foot of snow blanketed Oswego County in western New York State. Strong winds produced wind chill readings as cold as 22 degrees below zero at Duluth MN. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) The official H/L yesterday at Grand Rapids was 43/25 there was no rain/snow there were 31 HDD’s for today the average H/L is 45/31 the record high of 71 was in 1930 the coldest high of 24 was in 1969 the record low of 13 was in 1969 the warmest low of 56 was in 1934 the wettest was 1.27” that fell as 4.4” of snow in 1981 the most snowfall of 11.5” was in 2000 the most snow on the ground was 10” in 2022. Detailed Forecast for Grand Rapids Today Cloudy, with a high near 49. Calm wind becoming south southwest 5 to 7 mph in the morning. Tonight A 30 percent chance of showers before 1am. Cloudy, with a low around 39. Light southwest wind. Friday Partly sunny, with a high near 49. Calm wind becoming west northwest 5 to 7 mph in the morning. Friday Night Partly cloudy, with a low around 27. Light north wind. Saturday Mostly sunny, with a high near 45. Calm wind becoming southwest around 5 mph in the afternoon. Saturday Night Partly cloudy, with a low around 35. Sunday Mostly sunny, with a high near 51. Sunday Night Mostly clear, with a low around 33. Monday Mostly sunny, with a high near 52. Monday Night A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 39. Tuesday Showers likely. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 50. Tuesday Night A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 38. Wednesday Mostly cloudy, with a high near 45.

If it doesn't snow more than 20 inches at SEA this winter, I'm relocating to Buffalo.

The overnight GFS brings a nice bit of chilly air from the NE.

AIFS showing the clear PV split this morning at 50 hPa, with the strongest lobe across Canada. It's no surprise to then see at 500 hPa a big arctic blast building. With high pressure on both coasts it would be coming south shortly, as you would expect in MJO phase 7.