Great write-up from Terry Swails discussing the MJO, strat warm, etc. Very endepth and well worth the read.
https://www.tswails.com/single-post/a-december-to-remember
Melissa was a Beast and not surprised to see that she was able to deliver a record wind gust at 825 ft right before landfall...
https://www.accuweather.com/en/weather-news/hurricane-melissas-252-mph-wind-gust-sets-new-record/1836720
For the past week the models have been showing something happening at the end of November and the beginning of December. What, we don't know just yet. All I know is there is going to be a pattern change to much cooler or colder weather. I think the models are having a bit of a difficult time with how much colder air we will see and if we get any precipitation with the cold air.
I think by Tuesday we should know what we will get in terms of how cold the air will be and if we get any moisture with the cold 🌨