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Back in 2016 or 2017 I remember pounding the drum for a heavy La Niña cycle in the early 2020s. The intradecadal IPWP oscillations tied to the solar cycle & QBO made it relatively easy to time. Same forcings that brought it about are flipping now. Approaching solar maximum, IPWP is set to extend eastward after this El Niño for another 5-10 years.

Bleh

Only positive aspect of the 3 year La Niña is it might’ve staved off future La Niña cycles for the next 5-10 years. Previous 3+ year Niña (or just -ENSO) cycles tended to preclude future La Niñas for at least 5 years, sometimes close to a decade. 54/55 - 56/57: No La Niña for 8 years (64/65). The 13 year stretch between 1957/58 - 1969/70 featured 5 El Niños and 1 La Niña. 73/74 - 75/76: No La Niña for 8 years (83/84). 4 El Niños that stretch. 83/84 - 85/86: The following 9 years featured 5 El Niños and just 1 La Niña (88/89). Next niña would not occur until 1995/96, another 7 year wait. 98/99-00/01: No La Niña for 5 years (05/06) and it barely met threshold. 20/21-22/23: TBD

I’m so done with La Niña. 3 straight years (and 5/7yrs) of La Niña is enough. Good riddance. It’s El Niño time.

Oregon came out really flat yesterday. Stanford also has two field goal drives which ate up a bunch of time early. It was 6-0 Stamford in the 2nd quarter and then Oregon snapped into focus and blew them out easily. I kind of liked that they had to face a little adversity.