Tomorrow the cavalry arrives, if the predictions bear out. Will Jesse’s curse finally end? Or will the marine layer simply squash down to an impenetrable fog film? Find out tomorrow.
Though luckily it matters less in +QBO winters (for a number of acronym-laden reasons). Though it is still a player.
If we were going into a -QBO this winter, I would be calling for a nationwide dud like 1980/81. Thankfully that is not the case.
Yes, but it’s the same spatiotemporal effect w/rt tropical forcing.
My point is the augmented SW-ridge isn’t a statistical indicator for winter because it’s a reflection of the forcings (ENSO/QBO) we already know *are* indicators. There is no new information here.