The strong second wave next week for the upper midwest is gone as the the ICON, UK, and Euro have caved to the GFS and GDPS. The kicker energy behind the first storm stays much flatter, so it doesn't spin up until it reaches the Ohio Valley and Great Lakes.
Models looks cold in NW Canada to end the month and open up December. Also a signal for AK blocking. Put two and two together, and we have a real shot...