GFS went big and further south on that system the 4th-6th and has some ensemble support. It would definitely be a surprise to see that be our storm window since it always looked like the trailing system was the better bet. For now it's on its own though with the EPS further north still.

Some weather history for southern Lower Michigan for December 29 1880: Arctic air puts Lower Michigan in a deep freeze. Lansing falls to 15 below zero after a low of 17 below zero the day before. The high temperature of 1 above zero on this day is the coldest maximum temperature on record for the month of December at Lansing. 1984: Temperatures reach record highs for the second day in a row at Grand Rapids and Lansing. Amazingly, the record high of 65 degrees at Grand Rapids is set just after midnight. A cold front moves through in the morning and temperatures fall into the 30s during the afternoon. 1998, 0.1 inches of snow fell in Detroit. While this light snowfall is not usually a significant event at the end of December, this was the first measurable snowfall for the 1998-1999 winter season, making this date the latest first measurable snowfall of any winter season. 1880, the daytime temperature rose to only -3 degrees in Detroit. This is the second coldest maximum temperature for any day in Detroit.

The official H/L yesterday at GRR was52/35 there was 0.09” of rainfall there was no snowfall and there was no sunshine. The highest wind speed was 37 MPH out of the W. For today the average H/L is 33/22 the record high of 65 was in 1984 the coldest high of 10 was in 1976 the record low of -4 was in 1909 the warmest low of 41 was in 2019. The most rainfall of 1.38” was in 1990 the most snowfall of 5.3” was in 1980 the most on the ground was 14” in 1909.

I think some storm threads are worthy after today's 12z runs...how about that turn of events, huh? Last minute snowy trends are always a bonus....I'm also seeing a sneaky Friday system over the MW....love it!

Buckle Up...Saddle Up....this pattern is loaded and primed to shine!!! Hello Ol' Man Winter and Welcome 2025!! The land of the Frigid & Snowy Heartland of the Nation!! Not gonna lie, but that 0z Euro run had me some flashbacks of the Superbowl Blizzard of 2015. Eye candy for sure and this one has my interests perked up.