I went to 8,400ft on the west slopes of the Front Range in February and all I got was the remnants of a dusting.

As I predicted, the 3/3 system is showing up precisely over the TX PanHandle region using some LR methods that have been quite useful to say the least, however, it ain't producing a whole lot of wintry weather. Where do we go from here is the question??? Warm and Wet is a certain Bet for most on here....but the "Ides of March" will come back Roaring in for our northern friends as the SW Flow begins to take on a different caliber as the pattern setting up Week 2 (9th-11th) really digs the troughs into the 4 corners region. The amplification of the North American 500mb begins in the NE PAC as it fires up the Block, coinciding with blocking HP's over Canada...here comes the late Season Arctic reservoir that'll bleed south into the Upper MW/Plains. Blizzard Alley appears to be living up to it's name I'd imagine. So, with that being said, enjoy the warmth and copious rainfall to those who need it bc nature is gonna show up in a Bigly way for the heartland of the USA. What I'm interested in seeing is how much we can tap into some PAC moisture as the storm parade hits the west and troughs dig into my area over the SW. I do believe the mean trough heads into the Central CONUS for a better part of Week 2 in MAR, but then comes back a bit more west for Week 3 as I see it now. Keep an eye for the Greenland Block to pop and lock Week 2 in Mar into April. That's the bigger deal for the GL's/MW peeps and Northeast folks as you get deeper into MAR and Spring time. I'm expecting some big storms to roll on through around St Patty's day or thereabouts based on this map below...

Solely relying on ENSO is not the way. The wettest winter in SoCal history happened very recently in a Niña year.

That northern trend that models spit out yesterday ended up being a lie. We got about 2 hours of pure rippage here, which has just stopped. Light snow now.

Welp…