Yep, it's only slightly below average for a short period late this coming week. Otherwise it is normal or above normal...

The average is above normal and a big cluster is way above normal. This has been my point for 5 posts now. After June 10th ensembles say warm or lean warm.

I think the fact that someone is having to go back over two years to cherry pick a month that was very negligibly below average at best like May 2024 was just speaks volumes to where we've been at lately. Since May 2024, here are Battle Ground's warm season anomalies: June 2024: +1.1 July 2024: +5.1 August 2024: +1.4 September 2024: +2.7 May 2025: +2.3 June 2025: +2.3 July 2025: +3.5 (missing some days though) August 2025: +4.5 September 2025: +4.4 May 2026: +4.0 (missing a bit so generously we'll say the last couple days bring that down to +3.5) Framing it as a PDX issue is obvious copium for some.

And that's gonna keep moving north...

Just wait until the decadal PDO trends positive. A lot of these recent trends will be accentuated. July-Sept has the lowest PDO effect in the NW, of the whole year.