Haven’t had a ton of rain yet just 0.04”. I’m sure tomorrow will be wetter. 18z euro and gfs runs still have a nice shot of rain early next week for the region particularly Oregon.

Teeth chattering Juneteenth?

My thinking right now, in terms of peak temp probabilites at KSEA; adjusting EPS mean to climo, given the timing over a week out: 80F: 95% 85F: 80% 90F: 60% 95F: 25% 100F: 10%

I don't think we realize just how much of a black swan that 1954 summer was. 1954 never got out of the mid 80s in Portland. There is only 1 other summer, 1874 that didnt hit 90 or higher, and that record is dubious since there is missing data. Sure its 1950s climo, but still, essentially 1/150 odds at the lowest (and I'd wager something like that is a 1/500 year based on 1950s climo but that estimate is just a guess).

Going to be pretty warm at the very least.