I saw soooo many ECMWF AIFS runs that showed deep troughing and rain on Father's Day. But there we were on the lake in 80-degree sun. I get a sense the AI models are too aggressive after about day 5. Just a feeling.

Days like this when all stations in the Willamette Valley are within a degree or two of each other kind of poke a hole in the whole "PDX UHI hotbed!" narrative.

The atmosphere provided its own kind of jet during the summer back then

Temeratures trending down later this week due to the trough moving in here sooner, of course....

A truly nightmarish vision delivered today. First a monster summer trough that may freeze over even the hellish waters of Lake Sammy, followed by an Independence Day that will feel like it should have occurred 250 years ago, when the world was much cooler and jet skis had not even been invented yet.