Outside doing some work. Already 91 degrees at 10:30 am. Forecast high for today was supposed to be 87. Seems to be a theme in June of over performing temperatures.
I'm going on the record now. Feel free to bump this in the winter if I'm wrong. I'm going for a 90% chance this winter ends up below normal and nearly that chance for below the old normal. Also a very high chance of at least one significant Arctic outbreak. We've had a number of those in recent years, so that's not really a huge limb to go out on.
The big message right now is this winter is as close to being a lock for below normal average that you can get. This is more bullish than I've been in years. I have actually been quite subdued in my winter prognostications in recent years, but this is the year to go out there.
We haven't had a year where all of the stars have aligned this perfectly in a long time, and I'm confident I will be proven correct.