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#398018 December 2018 Weather in the Pacific Northwest

Posted by MR.SNOWMIZER on 23 December 2018 - 08:13 AM

Off topic but me and my girlfriend are now engaged to be married!! one of my biggest fears after loosing my wife was not ever finding another love like me and her had but this girl Trisha came into my life and everything worked out great. We acually dated way back in 1990. She has 2 girls age 9 and 13 and i really enjoy having young ones around the home again. Just wanted to share this with all you.

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#187128 December 2016 Observations and Model Discussion for the Pacific Northwest

Posted by MR.SNOWMIZER on 18 December 2016 - 12:23 PM

Been a emotional day.. First time in 27 years i went and picked a Christmas tree without my woman but me and my son made the best of it and had a good time. Its been a real test as a father dealing with all this. Dont want to sound like a wimp but life is so short. All who have a wife or significant other go give them a hug and spend every second with them like its the last!!
.

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#405126 January 2019 Weather in the Pacific Northwest

Posted by Jginmartini on 08 January 2019 - 09:21 AM

39* Federal Way
Currently at my parents place in SE Portland with some nice gusty east winds blowing at times.

Had awesome celebration of life service yesterday for Dad and nice weather as well!
The most emotional part was at Willamette National Cemetery where he had the Three volley solute with Taps playing.
Navel personal handed over the flag to my Mom....such a powerful moment and emotions flowed. I so much wanted to thank the two gentlemen who who did the 13 folds of our Flag but they disappeared just as hero’s do.

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#206934 January 2017 Observations and Model Discussion for the Pacific Northwest

Posted by Tyler Mode on 14 January 2017 - 07:02 PM

The state of the snow now 4 days after it fell. 

 

I've never seen such staying power in our snow with sunny days as well!  2008 it stuck around a long time but it was pretty much socked in the entire time.

 

Vancouver Lake is frozen, I've never seen that before and the trees are still coated amazingly well.

 

The one picture of the road looks like it's from the mid-west, not SW Washington.

 

High of 33.6 today after a low of 9.5.


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#52273 December 2014 Observations for the Pacific Northwest

Posted by SilverFallsAndrew on 17 December 2014 - 03:41 PM

Sorry, but I had too....

 

Abbi on the left is 4lb 6oz, Lexi on the right is 6lb 2oz.

 

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#399299 December 2018 Weather in the Pacific Northwest

Posted by MR.SNOWMIZER on 25 December 2018 - 11:59 AM

It's been an amazing Christmas for my family but the best moment happened yesterday in fred meyer. I was in line and there was a younger couple in front of me that had there christmas gifts in the cart and the dad had a children's bicycle. When the total came up on the screen they didn't have enuff to pay for everything so they said they would return the bike. I pd for it. I've been in that mans shoes.. not fun. Made my Christmas.
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#217689 February 2017 Observations and Model Discussion for the Pacific Northwest

Posted by van city on 07 February 2017 - 12:01 PM

Some incredible scenes of winter up in Northern Whatcom County. Love it!

From Chilliwack.

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#206955 January 2017 Observations and Model Discussion for the Pacific Northwest

Posted by Bryant on 14 January 2017 - 09:56 PM

Went ice skating on Cain Lake and Lake Whatcom today with Brennan and Mattias (Bainbridgekid). Cain lake was a good 5-6" thick and we skated from one end to the other with no worries. The lake is a respectable 75 acres and 75' deep.

Lake Whatcom was skatable on the north end, for the first time since January 1993. For those that don't know, the lake is 13 miles long and 350' deep. We broke the ice about 50 yards out and it was 3-4" thick. Was quite an adrenaline rush to experience skating on a lake of that size.

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#206228 January 2017 Observations and Model Discussion for the Pacific Northwest

Posted by Jesse on 12 January 2017 - 08:05 PM

Some pictures from the Fort Vancouver Historic Site today.

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#190199 December 2016 Observations and Model Discussion for the Pacific Northwest

Posted by DJ Droppin on 24 December 2016 - 10:26 AM

I wish you all a Merry Christmas. I hope you can find joy and happiness. Appreciate the ones you have with you during this Holiday season.

 

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#178153 December 2016 Observations and Model Discussion for the Pacific Northwest

Posted by jaya on 08 December 2016 - 11:07 AM

Could you write your own morning discussion...just for us? And not mention any change over to rain or any of that stuff! Just kidding, you guys do a great job, we are just all weenies. 

Well, I don't have access to everything that I'd like to look at.

With that said, tonight will be tricky with the strong offshore flow. I've seen it go both ways. In one case in 2014 I believe, models showed drying and no precip. We got 2-3 inches from that in Seattle. In other cases, the dry air won.  I'll see later.  I'm a little concerned that outflow from the Fraser will keep the area NE of Bellingham in the cold for the foreseeable future.  I'm not sure about the change to a mix or rain up there Except maybe near the water and south of the hills.

 

Concerning the longer term...Monday is looking potentially interesting - but the moisture leaves before the cold air comes down. Time will tell. But it is looking cold. With the very cold air over western Canada and Alaska and the high latitude block along 150W, combined with some undercutting of the flow along 40N -W Wa will be in the middle of the battle zone. I really don't know the details on how the models are handling tropical moisture and convection at this time (model changes are happening at a fast pace), but very cold air nearby and moisture from the south could make things quite interesting over the next couple of weeks. The end of next week looks interesting. 

 

Models in this pattern tend to be quite unstable. Model riding is dangerous.  It will be difficult to get things right even in the short term.


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#401858 January 2019 Weather in the Pacific Northwest

Posted by Kayla on 01 January 2019 - 10:29 AM

Happy New Year weather nerds! Was a beautiful -12F start to 2019 here this morning.

 

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#401539 December 2018 Weather in the Pacific Northwest

Posted by MR.SNOWMIZER on 31 December 2018 - 12:47 PM

Gods country.

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#399225 December 2018 Weather in the Pacific Northwest

Posted by Timmy_Supercell on 25 December 2018 - 08:49 AM

2.70" yesterday. 2" on sections of the ground that did not have snow after the morning amount.

 

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#399061 December 2018 Weather in the Pacific Northwest

Posted by MossMan on 24 December 2018 - 07:52 PM

BEST CHRISTMAS EVER!!!

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#293922 December Weather In the PNW

Posted by ShawniganLake on 27 December 2017 - 09:32 PM

Nobody cares what happens in Vancouver. Go to the Canadian forums.

******* of the year candidate. I vote for a ban. You bring nothing to this forum.
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#173790 December 2016 Observations and Model Discussion for the Pacific Northwest

Posted by TT-SEA on 04 December 2016 - 04:40 PM

Awesome sunset tonight....

 

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#399997 December 2018 Weather in the Pacific Northwest

Posted by iFred on 26 December 2018 - 11:26 PM

Real posting for a moment, not shit posting.

A lot of this stuff gets old and it turns into a cross Columbia circle jerk of hate and pleasure.

So this rule is simple, and I’ll enforce it as such; political jabbing back and fourth will result in a mod preview. Being a dick to others will result in a ban.

I could give two shits if you don’t like Tim’s posts, think high schoolers rooting for a wind storm is annoying, or feel like people posting about Whatcom county snow is trolling the poor folks in Eugene. What I care about is people sharing their thoughts, observations, pictures, experiences, motivations, and passions surrounding the weather in our area.

I’m wrapping up some finishing touches for a beta of the next gen forum software and some cool local weather maps and tools for us. I’d like to have this community smoothly transition into that by this spring. Doing so though and growing our community though will mean less asshole posts and more weather discussion.
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#395470 December 2018 Weather in the Pacific Northwest

Posted by iFred on 18 December 2018 - 12:11 AM

Happens to all of us when there is snow falling.   This place gets pretty crazy.    Remember to enjoy the storm and not just watch it through your computer and phone.   Another mistake we make in this age of too much easy access to information.    ;)

 

I live by this.

Earlier this year, when I lived outside of Philly, I got to experience three weeks worth of nor'easters. I took it all in, the excitement of tracking something that even within the range of warm and wet possibilities, would net a decent snow fall. The days leading up to each storm, going out for long walks and enjoying the air, the environment around me and the bustle of people preparing for snow.

When the snow came, I did spend a small bit of time nowcasting, but nearly all of it was out driving, taking pictures, and just drinking a cup of hot coffee and letting the snow fall. The last storm was the biggest, it might have been the best event that I have ever experienced. We had a foot and a half of wet snow fall over six hours into the evening. The flakes were huge. Standing outside, where only the sound of the passing Septa train a block over was masked with the faint but ongoing sound of heavy snow falling on wet snow.
 

That evening when the last death band was over us, I stood there staring at the parking lot lamp washing the area with an orange hue. I had Clair de Lune playing, enjoying a dirty chai, and propped on the edge of my cars bumper, just taking it all it.

So maybe you can get past my tacky writing, but take something out of it, when the weather comes, take it all in.

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#319857 February Weather in the Pacific Northwest

Posted by jaya on 16 February 2018 - 11:21 PM

According to the WRF the south Sound does better than the north Sound.  Not sure if I buy it or not but that's what it shows.  Everyone has equal chances with this.

I'm not sure I like the details in any of the models. Almost anything can happen.

 

I think big picture instead of mesoscale - and worry about the mesoscale a few hours out.

 

Let's keep an eye on the pressure gradients. If KOTH-KSEA remains strongly southerly, CYWL-KBLI strongly northerly, upper low comes over the area, surface and 850 mb low comes onshore near KHQM and into the south interior, I can't see that someone in W WA doesn't do rather well (2-4 with local 4-6) in the snowfall amount with this arctic front.  I do tend to think big, so maybe I'm over forecasting, but I do see potential.

 

Now my bet:

 

We have rather cold air aloft coming in late Sat night into Sunday. Above 300-500 ft above MSL, I can see snow ratios somewhat better than 10-1 (15 to 1 maybe), especially toward the tail end of the event.

 

Who will get the snow?  Well, the models typically err in bringing the cold air southward from the Fraser too quickly. I can see it hanging up somewhere from Mt Vernon to N of Seattle for a while before pushing southward. This would focus snow most strongly over this area with the fluffiest snow midday to aftn Sunday away from the water.  Port Angeles will do very well as they get upslope and "lake effect.".  Still too much uncertainty on the track of the midweek system, but this has some potential to give more widespread accumulations in a warm advection pattern. Anywhere to the north of the track of the low could do well.  

 

As a snow lover, I see great potential.  Of course, living in the northwest means disappointment and forecasting snow around here is difficult. 

 

My bets at this point (based on model means and mainly gut):

 

Bellingham 3 inches (early)

High area south of Mt Vernon, 5 inches

KPAE:  5 inches

North Seattle 3 inches

Downtown Seattle 1 inch.

Seatac 1.5 inches

Olympia 1 inch

Areas to the east of Tacoma (Eatonville) 6 inches

Port Angeles 6 inches.

 

Low temperature Tuesday morning at KSEA: 19, KPAE 17, KBLI 15, KOLM 13

 

If it does not work out...oh well, another busted forecast ... but this one is just for fun.

 

jaya