One thing to keep in mind with this is this rainfall forecast actually comes from WPC, not the local office. NWS offices have to use WPCs precipitation forecasts whether they agree or not. There is a window where the local office can suggest changes but WPC doesn't have to listen. Paying attention over the last few years WPC has a consistent mid range high bias that diminishes as you approach the event. So of course this outcome is possible, but on average I would expect these totals to retract a bit as you get closer. So I wrote this before I looked at any data, and now that I have here is the EPS mean. Other ensemble means are similar: This is a much more likely outcome of 1-2" on average, locally more or less. I usually say for the 3-5 day forecasts you can take whatever they have and divide by 2 and its probably reasonable, that holds here

If I was an American citizen, yes. Am I aware of his shortcomings? Yup. Last spring generic Republican was polling better against Biden. It should have been another candidate. But I resonate with the so-called populist sentiment. Trump is a pulsating, orange middle finger by those who feel ignored by the establishment. That can’t be ignored. People like Tim can slander and denigrate these folk for resonating with the Orange Bad Man (basket of deplorables), but such willful blindness comes at a cost.

Feels pretty 1998ish

It's actually incredible how we all basically know Trump's positions on just about everything at this point...so her entire campaign should in theory be her getting her position messages out. But that's not what she does when she's asked a question. Someone asked her at the NABJ what are a few things she'll do to fix the border and she filibustered for like 3 minutes and didn't even give an answer. It's embarrassing.

So you’re gonna vote for trump??