An area of drought has crept up in south Florida including the Everglades. That wasn't anticipated, at least by me, in El Niño year as almost all of the southeast gets a soaking. Montana and Idaho drought continues. Mountain fires anticipated there later in the summer. West Texas drought expanded into the Laredo area of the Rio Grande. No change in Kansas or the southwest. This week marked the end of the parade of west to east storms along the Gulf Coast. Maybe El Niño is fading to the ENSO neutral?

There are some constraints though based on theory. Precipitation has to increase globally by 1-2% per degree C. The water sucking capacity of the atmosphere will increase because of potential evapotranspiration going up. I do think some of those assumptions are based on constant RH though? I also seem to recall that there are some uncertainties about how RH is actually changing regionally (although I think it’s decreasing globally)?? I’ll concede that if the general circulation is perturbed enough by climate change, then you could definitely get a different distribution of where the wet and dry areas are. But the wet/dry season climate of the PNW seems to fit the theoretical paradigm pretty well, better than many other areas certainly.

Why do you have to kick a man when he’s down? Lol.

Why are you projecting all your climate angst on us. It’s not relevant here. Lol

I'm not shy about being critical of Israel, but Hezbollah has been lobbing rockets at northern Israel for months, and now that the dry season is kicking in those rockets are starting to kick off brush fires. No country would put up with that sort of aggression indefinitely. Hezbollah is going to drag Lebanon into the conflict.