A little surprised how far NE CD2 is leaning towards Kamala. Not a lot of polls there yet so sample size isn't big but the two that have been released so far showed Harris +9 and +11. Biden won it by six points in 2020 after Trump won by two in 2016. Not sure I can see her doubling Biden's margin.
It's a great example of urban vs. rural divide. NE went Trump +19 in 2020, which was an increase over his margin in 2016 (+16). That's a -25 point swing between the statewide results and the greater Omaha area last cycle. A microcosm of deciding how this race will ultimately turn out. Can Trump run up the rural margins enough to counteract Harris's urban advantage? I'm still not confident he can pull it off without suburban women on his side and polls show he lacks with that demographic, to say the least. It's going to be extremely close.
Yup. I was at 6 at midnight but the daylight hours never got above -4. Too bad we didn’t have a calm clear night with that. Moderated too quickly otherwise we could have had a low between -10 and -20.
Let's just wait and see. As I said...it was analysts who said this could cause a bump for somebody. Your gripe should be with the experts. I'm tired of you bashing everything I say. Don't shoot the messenger.
I have to say I can't wait for you to get some serious egg in the face.
Hmmmm.
Makes you wonder if it will eventually sag into WA, and then OR, and then CA over the long haul. Pretty classic to see in a season with a cold winter.