Where are u located? Been the worst thunderstorm season in memory here.
Most hot/ridgy summers are lackluster in the convective department but 2024 has been especially terrible.
Last winter’s niño didn’t develop from the WPAC, so the -PMM/-PDO actually aided its development from costero-more to EPAC-canonical structure via equatorward contraction of the ITCZ/Hadley Cell there. Last time we saw an east-to-west developing niño was 1972, which was also -PMM/-PDO at onset.
The PDO is only “negative” right now because of the widespread warm SSTs everywhere. Correct for global SST anomaly and we have a neutral PDO/PMM.