Our recent bad luck is probably somewhat cyclical.
However, our winter windstorms are generally going to be the byproduct of intense baroclinic zones, and the frequency of those may decrease a little with fewer and fewer cold airmasses from Alaska slipping out over the ocean. I don't think it's necessarily a coincidence that the last -PDO phase had a higher number of big storms before dwindling a bit after 1975.
Hurricane Milton. Model trends compared to 18z. Forecast for 5pm Wednesday.
HWRF 8.5mb stronger, HMON 8.8mb weaker, HAFS-A 28.9mb stronger, HAFS-B 17.7mb stronger.
To my untrained eye it seems unlikely to hit Tampa unless we see wobbles to the north or north-northeast at times. Based on the latest satellite trends it's going to be a bit of a tough task to bring Milton as far north as Tampa, even though several models continue to suggest this. I think it's going to be much closer to Fort Myers. We shall see...
12z ECMWF in 12 hours 3 minutes