So, you're saying there's a chance. Any bonafide thaw with legs we are usually into it a ways before anything good (ending it) pops up on models. But ofc with AI and such the models are getting a bit better further out. Two historic winters for this region had Dec thaws ('77 and 2013). Extremely rare at your LAT to have wall-to-wall winter/1"+ snow cover begin in Dec. Even back in the non-warm era. 1903 may be one if the snow was early and deep enough. I did it with '95 but that was much further north and with the benefit of LES as well.
Here in my yard, there was another light dusting of new snow last night and I had a overnight low of 0 at 7:50 it is now +3 here in my yard.
Some weather history for December 14th 1952 — Trace of snow or sleet at or near Pensacola, Crestview, DeFuniak Springs, Quincy, Carrabelle, Tallahassee, St. Marks, Monticello, Madison, Mayo, Live Oak, Lake City, Glen St. Mary, and Hilliard in Florida. Frozen precipitation occurred before noon at most points, but happened in the afternoon at Mayo and Lake City and near Hilliard. Temperatures were above freezing and snow or sleet melted as it fell. 2006 — The Hanukkah Eve Wind Storm of 2006 caused storm to hurricane-force wind gusts and heavy rainfall hit the Pacific Northwest and southern British Columbia. Damage estimates in Washington and Oregon totaled $220 million. Over 1.8 million residences and businesses without power. 18 people were killed, most of whom died of carbon monoxide poisoning in the days following the storm because of improper use of barbecue cookers and generators indoors.
The official H/L yesterday at Grand Rapids was 28/8 there was 0.04” of precipitation that fell as 1.1” of snowfall. There is now 7” of snow on the ground. The highest wind gust was 36 MPH out of the NW. For today the average H/L is 36/25 the record high of 59 was in 1975, 2015 the coldest high of 12 was in 1914 the record low of -1 was in 1943 the warmest low of 49 was in 1975 the wettest was 1.32” iDetailed Forecast
Today
Increasing clouds, with a high near 22. Wind chill values as low as -7. West northwest wind 7 to 13 mph, with gusts as high as 28 mph.
Tonight
Mostly cloudy, with a steady temperature around 19. Light and variable wind becoming southwest 5 to 10 mph after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 23 mph.
Monday
A 30 percent chance of snow showers, mainly before 1pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 25. Wind chill values as low as -1. South southwest wind 11 to 16 mph, with gusts as high as 32 mph.
Monday Night
Cloudy, with a low around 20. West wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening.
Tuesday
Mostly cloudy, with a high near 36. South southwest wind 5 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 23 mph.
Tuesday Night
Mostly cloudy, with a low around 31.
Wednesday
Partly sunny, with a high near 38.
Wednesday Night
A chance of showers after 1am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 26.
Thursday
Showers, mainly before 1pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 43.
Thursday Night
A chance of snow showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 19.
Friday
Mostly cloudy, with a high near 30.
Friday Night
A chance of snow showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 22.
Saturday
A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 38
n 1975 the most snowfall of 5.1” was in 1907 the most on the ground was 15” in 1970.