You guys realize the Cansips has a severe cold bias, right? It’s a terrible model that can’t get a grasp on 500 mb patterns ever (not to mention how far out the lead time is here). Really silly to even post this garbage here, no offense. It’s going to be a 2015-16 redux, sorry to the New England winter fans.
Take what it was showing last spring, for example (at a significantly shorter lead time). It had a cold spring for the Great Lakes and Northeast, which obviously didn’t verify as it was a top 5 or top 10 spring for most cities in those regions (2nd warmest on record for the entire CONUS). Maybe by the end of November the Cansips will have a better idea on how the pattern will look and dominate for the upcoming winter, but it’s pretty obvious what’s going to happen.
As for the CPC outlook for July, we’re going to need to see a very cold second half for that to verify as the EPS and its AI counterpart are generally warm here through the 15th.