Looks like a dynamic mid month could be in play. Quick heat spike late next week followed by a broad, deep trough negatively tilting as it moves onshore, bringing a significant thunderstorm threat, followed by a wet cold front and a popcorn storm threat behind said front, probably caused by strong flareups of the PSCZ. If things pan out right Seattle could be looking at an inch or more of rain in 72 hours before a likely return to warmth. Euro/CMC/AI models are troughier. The GFS seems like a warm outlier solution but still has the warm core threat. Plenty to watch here.

Will be interesting to see if the -PDO can finally break this winter. A super Nino does not guarantee a flip to +PDO by any means.

Record low at Rockford again... second one there in the past several days. Of course it pretty much takes an act of God to get a record low at ORD nowadays. RECORD EVENT REPORT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO IL 457 PM CDT THU MAY 07 2026 ...RECORD LOW TEMPERATURE SET AT ROCKFORD IL... A RECORD LOW TEMPERATURE OF 27 DEGREES WAS SET AT ROCKFORD IL THIS MORNING. THIS BREAKS THE OLD RECORD FOR THIS DATE OF 28 DEGREES SET IN 1976.

I just dont see it. This dry spell hasn't broken since 2021. God just seems to hate Nebraska.

Still dry and boring Will it ever rain in Nebraska ever again?