Actually given we are in a supercharged high AAM state w/ the extended U200 Pacific jet, the upcoming -dAAMt off such an in-situ state in tandem with onset of E-Hem monsoonal forcing and MJO thru W-Atl - IO sector does not scream prolonged PNW heat at all, and actually now that I think about it, opens the door to another failed attempt to establish +TNH (may retrograde offshore again instead). Previous instances of such setups were not consistently ridgy in the West. If so, then it may well be that significant heat/ridging does not establish in the West for another month, and another cycle of troughing may be on the doorstep instead.

RDM is actually at -1.5 for the month so far. The last 30 days have been very pleasant. However, May ended up above normal and I’d bet the same for June.

Thanks. Warm camp winning in the 7-10 day, cool camp in the 12-15

Well, no rain but a beautiful day. Another is in line. High 88. 80% chance of rain.