AMO is running cool lately, but it may just be from all the +NAO/AO

That’s not possible up there, any EPAC hurricane would be a baggy non-tropical low w/ how cold those waters are. Best conduit for some early season warm seclusion/sting jet dynamics would be via a WPAC typhoon riding an augmented E-Asia-NPAC jet. Not a hurricane but that’s probably the next closest thing to it.

Good grief, is there any warm season pattern that can produce a negative departure here in JJA now? Western ridging used to do the trick but not anymore with how dominant the Bermuda High is in the 21st Century.

It’s uncomfortable af, do not recommend.

Late summer on a hot, dry day would be a nice timing.