This is a very anti-Nino look in the medium-long range. In fact the highest probabilities of warmer than average weather just about perfectly line up with where it tends to run near/below average in a Nino summer. Makes me wonder if this is a sign that we're going to get some funky looks this winter that either don't resemble a Nino at all, or more hybrid aspects. Probably too early to say though as we'll just have to watch how the Nino continues to develop and what the forcing tendencies are.

We will see our first 100* day on Tuesday. Made even hotter by the humidity, loitering around 50%. Ahhh, Summer in Texas. Beloved by all.

Pretty much all models are giving me some snowflakes on Sunday. If I don't get snow, and it also rains on the 4th of July weekend, I am going to have the biggest meltdown in forum history. Bigger than the forum meltdown last winter when the AI Euro was the only model showing western ridging, and then all the other models caved to it.

NAM'ed!!!

Just one model depiction of dewpoints next week. This seems a bit smoothed and I suspect that dews could be a bit higher than this in some spots. I also think I have a good chance to pull off at least 1 day of 80 dews here, despite that not quite being shown verbatim, especially with how much rain has fallen around here lately.