This is a very anti-Nino look in the medium-long range. In fact the highest probabilities of warmer than average weather just about perfectly line up with where it tends to run near/below average in a Nino summer. Makes me wonder if this is a sign that we're going to get some funky looks this winter that either don't resemble a Nino at all, or more hybrid aspects. Probably too early to say though as we'll just have to watch how the Nino continues to develop and what the forcing tendencies are.