If you wish to dawdle in pseudoscience, be my guest.

What on earth are you talking about? There is substantial disagreement amongst climate models regarding spatiotemporal changes in precipitation patterns in response to climate change. And there *certainly* is no fundamental law or established science w/rt which solution is correct one. That is ludicrous. Have you read any of the literature on this? It is rife with uncertainty and disagreement, specifically on regional scales.

That is absolutely a claim he would happily make he is probably concocting a long, wordy, and gruff rebuttal post full of scientific -isms and historical references to the pre-triassic period at this very moment!!

I think you are projecting your expertise in subseasonal forecasting onto an area of atmospheric science that you don’t really understand. What you’re suggesting is that there are catastrophic flaws in climate models that would cause them to get even the most basic principles of climate change wrong, such as the change in mean seasonal precipitation over a 30 year average. And the only place I’ve ever seen such a claim — that a basic principle accepted by almost all climate scientists is actually completely wrong — is on social media.

I have always agreed that hurricanes need a combination of hot ocean below and cold air aloft. AML constantly reminds us that the marine layer is a big player in SoCal weather and so it is all over the ocean. I think the marine layer would be thicker as the temperature of air rises faster than the ocean surface. That's what we see with warming; the air temperature may increase 1.0 while ocean surface temps lag behind, increasing only 0.1. Along the ITCZ, I see lighting of thunderstorms only get active in the eary morning hours between midnight and daybreak. The air cools sufficiently to allow warm surface air, rich with water vapor, to rise and initiate the thunderstorm building. There are many other atmospheric factors involved of course, but with less optimum time to form thunderstorm clusters, I think hurricanes should be less frequent. With a large and well defined thunderstorm cluster and the right upper atmosphere, hurricanes will form just as readily as the storm itself keeps the upper air cool. This despite global warming and deeper marine layer. My idea may be trashed if the NOAA predictions for hurricane numbers for 2024 is correct.