Haven't seen Tim this stressed and defensive in awhile, of course he will just say he is just discussing the "now" as he has been, but..... iykyk!! Today was a pleasant coolish day, mix of clouds and sun, nothing to write home about. There was a wild brush fire between Cosmopolis and Raymond on the 101 the other day which is not a typical area for fires, they got it contained somewhat quickly.

Not much better here with just 0.01". Had noticed models weren't showing much and was hoping they'd be wrong. At least the dryer areas of Iowa were getting the heaviest amounts lately. And far se. Iowa which had been the wettest earlier was missing out more in May and dryer than most of the state.

First 70+ dp of the year Not enough to drench the windows in condensation yet, but Satan is rising.

Multitude of factors. Inception of Niña/E-Hem LF forcing in tandem with descending +QBO, -PMM/+AAM (which modulates ITCZ/HC width), and +DMI/+IOD tendency which will focus convection towards the IO side of the IPWP heading into the heart of summer. Everything is set up the worst way possible. A miracle is always possible, but those are few and far between these days. June might have a few cool shots left in the tank (eastern US first half of month then western US second half) but that’ll likely be the exception rather than the rule IMO.