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Extreme Solar Minimum In The Works? What It Might Mean For The NW

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Posted 19 March 2017 - 07:52 PM


    The Snow Wizard

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  • 10631 posts
  • LocationCovington, WA
The sun is dead!

No spots for two weeks now and the flux numbers are rock steady at full blown solar minimum levels. If we really have 3 years until solar min this will be the deepest minimum in ages. Of perhaps even greater interest is the AP index is currently running in the 1 to 2 range. Many solar cycles never achieve that. By all measures this is big league quiet.

A quick recap of what this might mean for us...

Very deep solar minimums are thought to cause a much slower atmosphere in the winter months which equates to much more blocking. It is also thought the GOA and north Atlantic are favored locations for anomalous blocking during extreme minimums which means much colder winters for North America and Europe.

Another aspect that is exciting for us is deep solar minimums and grand minimums have a tendency to equate to fewer El Ninos.
  • Black Hole likes this
Death To Warm Anomalies!

Winter 2016-17 Stats

Total snow = 9.8"
Days Min 32 or below = 61
Days Max 32 or below = 1
Days Max Below 40 = 29
Coldest Min = 16


Posted 20 March 2017 - 07:23 AM


    Special Contributor

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  • 5908 posts
  • LocationKirkland, WA (north)

It's definitely going to be interesting in the coming years to see what complications might arise from this solar minimum we're going into. 


For those wondering where we are now vs. the past 22 years. 


Univ. of WI Parkside Geosciences (environmental conc.), GIS - 2011


2016-2017 snowfall: 14.0"

Total moisture 2017: 17.44" 03/31

Elevation: 460 ft