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    Thunderstorm with anvil crawlers in Austria

    Studio Dewolf
    By Studio Dewolf,
    Heavy thunderstorm passed Metnitz (Austria) in the Alps. Lots of flashes, lightning bolts but also anvil crawlers. A tree is struck by lightning, prompting firefighters to be called to the scene (fire). The thunderstorm is also filmed with drone DJI Mini 2.
     

    Winter Forecasts - 2022-23 (Amateur and Pro Welcome)

    chescowxman
    By chescowxman,
    Below is my attempt at a Winter Forecast for Chester County PA. I identified 12 analog years that had similar average temperature departures for October (~2 degrees below normal) and November (~2 degrees above normal). Ten (10) of the twelve (12) featured below normal temperatures - with 8 of the 12 years having above normal snowfall. The coldest analog season was 1977-78, the snowiest was the winter of 2009-10 when we were buried under 86.7" of snow. The warmest was 1948-49, the least snowiest 1930-31.
    Overall, I predict below normal temperatures for December, January and February, but above normal March temperatures. Seasonal snowfall will be above average at 47" vs our 36" of average snowfall featuring above average snowfall for all winter months with the exception of March
    Below is the chart with the actual readings for the analog years. Let me know your thoughts and if any questions let me know. Wish me luck and get those snowblowers ready!!
    image.png.20b33aa663ad03e1400de4178366ca19.png

    Thanksgiving Holiday - TX Panhandle Cutter

    Tom
    By Tom,

    The models are all coming into agreement that a rather potent cut-off ULL will slide down the leeward side of the Rockies and into the TX Panhandle region on Thanksgiving.  This system slowly migrates through TX into OK picking up abundant moisture and wrapping it into the cold core of the storm system on the NW side producing a significant snowstorm for W TX/W OK.  Severe Wx potential for E TX is in the cards, albeit not as widespread and intense.  This may change in future runs so something to keep an eye on. 

     

    Nevertheless, a heavy precip producing system is in the works and I'm sure there will be more twists and turns with this system.  Let's discuss.

    image.gif

     

    0z EPS...

    1.png

     

    0z GEFS precip...

    gfs-ens_apcpn_us_28.png


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