Just rumors, so who knows if it’s true or not. But it’s plausible, given the recent debate disaster.

I saw this on the Ag Weather update this morning and thought of our discussion yesterday. Even locally the water is not that cold which is probably why this summer has felt different than 2010 in terms of marine layer persistence. The water off the PNW coast was so much colder in 2010. And with the upcoming pattern over the next 2 week the water offshore is only going to get warmer. I am certain we won't have a persistent marine layer under ridging type of summer like we did in 2010... but also know you don't trust me so I guess we will see. In the video Eric also said Nina is trying and failing.

Just following up on this discussion I missed from last night... I was referring to the post below which was posted here about 12 days ago regarding SEA. This post was comparing this June to the long-term average and not the 30-year average. June ended up -1.0 using the 30-year average but +.25 using the long-term average. So that is now 12 years in a row warmer than the long-term average. The last 12 days of June erased that blue bar on the chart for this year and turned it red.

EPS showing our rain chance around the 4th and another around the 9th. Pretty good signal looking through all ensemble data for that. PWATs (and dew points) really elevated through the 4th but it looks like overall a bit lower after that.

A pattern shift is looking likely as move from now through mid month. For the first few days it looks like more of the same with cool and wet weather in the northern plains and hot and humid south of there. It looks like the 4th-10th will be a bit cooler and more active in the mid section. But then after that the ridge moves north into the northern Plains with much hotter weather there. In the southern Plains our temperatures may end up being closer to normal (especially TX) with some better rain chances (especially further south) and some tropical threat.