Thank you. Saw this post and decided to run the correlation between ENSO and Oct/Nov precip. Sure enough there is a moderate negative correlation between Oct/Nov precip and ENSO (-ENSO = more precip, and vice versa). Still *not* statistically significant, but it’s a much stronger result than Oct/Nov precip & DJF temps. However, when compartmentalizing the analog pool by ENSO, the sign of the correlation *inverts*. Which suggests ENSO is responsible for any covariance between Oct/Nov precip and DJF temps. I think that’s what Jared doesn’t understand. If the correlator itself correlates more strongly to another variable (like ENSO), then you are most likely simply picking up an ENSO correlation.

Those two place are shittholes. No doubt about it.

Meanwhile Biden's student loan forgiveness continues to languish in the courts. With the election so close now they should be able to keep it from happening. If Trump wins it all goes away.

He said some of the Mexicans are rapists and they tend to send over their worst people. The ICE website admits they are releasing people with criminal records, including rape and homicide. The "shithole" countries he was referring to were Haiti and Somalia, which are failed states and he said the Squad should go back to those countries rather than to try to implement their failed socialist policies here. He could have said third-world countries to be nicer, but people would still be offended. Amazingly Trump has a higher percentage of African Americans voting for him then any Republican in the past 50 years. That's pretty hard to do for a racist.

That is, no Santa Ana winds this year, yet....