Let’s calculate Spearman’s Ranked CC to test @Front Ranger ‘s theory that either October or November running +1SD from the mean correlates to winter temps. Answer: NOPE. Literally zero relationship. P-value needs to be +0.05 or lower for statistical significance, and as can be seen here, it is 0.74 i.e. not even remotely close. (Ignore the definitions for X/Y, I forgot to change the wording).

OMG. You literally have no idea how to run a statistical analysis. Stop embarrassing yourself. In an 83 year sample, the odds of either Oct or Nov precipitation being in the top-10 in any given year is ~ 22.5% The odds of either Oct or Nov precipitation running +1SD or more above the mean is approximately 30%, assuming a normal distribution. There are ***28 such years*** in the 83 year sample from Olympia. You referenced 14 years, that is only half of the sample.

Boooooooooooo!

Please tell me you’re trolling. If not, I think a wellness check might be in order.

Lol. Okay, then what specifically IS this correlation? What data points are you looking at? If it exists, it must be quantifiable. FWIW, you explicitly said there is a correlation between October precipitation and winter temperatures in PNW. You didn’t add any modifiers. I took screenshots of your posts. Might be easier to simply accept that you were wrong. It’s okay, it happens to all of us.