FWIW, there are a decent number of other years that match this one reasonably in terms of very deep -PDO through summer into early fall and with weak/neutral ENSO. The composite of those winters looks pretty cold for the CONUS, particularly the northern plains, upper Midwest, and northern PNW. 2022, 2013, 2008, and 1971 are the best QBO matches. The actual anomaly averages are colder, but the standardized map shows the overall anomalies better.

What other years are on the top list?

I was surprised the ECMWF seasonals have a bit of a cool signal for November as well as the signal for chilly winter. It has above normal surface pressure over the GOA / Aleutians for Nov - Feb.

As I said. I wish Trump would have just rolled with it, but made it clear he would do everything possible to help improve the situation for 2024. Fortunately, a lot has been done. I think the pressure he put on Pence in that situation was very unfair BTW.

Yup. I heard about this the other day. The only time more people identified as Republican in the third quarter of a Presidential Election year in the history of the poll. At least since they have been asking that particular question.