Well....

12z HRRR has me pushing 2 inchs of rain and a great drink for many of us in the plains. It also appears to be further south and east than the global models.

Wouldn't be surprised to see Myrtle Reservoir (West Seattle) get a slushy inch+

I certainly believe the 0z EPS is on the right track where I thought the blocking would set up over NW NAMER and the NE PAC. Once we get into Thanksgiving week, it appears the northland will have temps sub 32F and with no snow OTG, it would be ideal for the ground to freeze over during a 5+ day period of cold weather before the next snows arrive. @MadtownI honestly think its "Go Time" to flood the rink next week.... Meantime, the SW ridge will fire up later this week and into the weekend as we warm up to around 80F out here in the Valley of the Sun! I'm gonna enjoy every bit of it.

I noticed models beginning to hint at a clipper pattern up this way. Cheap way to build up a snowpack, but it is a way nonetheless. That's how we did it in the 2021-22 nonstop ground blizzardfest.